Now, I'm obviously not an economist, agronomist, or any other -ist that means anything. I'm just a paranoid mom who knows that the world is already on the brink of a massive food crisis. With that caveat in mind, here are my thoughts:
- If you watched any of the tsunami footage, you saw the waters engulf what appeared to be fields and greenhouses. A quick check on Google confirmed that Sendai, ground zero for the disaster, is in the midst of the Japanese agricultural heartland.
- The same Google search showed that one of the major crops of this area of Japan is rice.
- Salt water, debris, any chemicals picked up by the water, etc. are bad for crops! Not to mention the huge societal disruption Japan is facing. This could disrupt agriculture in the area for some time to come.
- Japan consumes a massive amount of rice.
- Up until now, the Japanese have imported very little rice and mainly consume what they grow themselves.
- With a large portion of their rice crop in jeopardy, Japan will be forced to import rice.
- This could lead to a spike in the price for rice, or perhaps even a rice shortage.
- Even worse: If the unthinkable happens and those damaged nuclear plants have a Chernobyl-type accident, crop land in Japan could be contaminated for years to come. This would continue the food shortage/price increase scenario in addition to all the other tragic effects of such a disaster.
A rice paddy |
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